Saturday, April 07, 2007

Here's the situation today...

We have six games left to play and are currently in second place, four points ahead of Nottingham Forest, who we drew with last week. There's a four point gap between Forest and Oldham, so there's an eight point gap between City and Oldham.

Scunthorpe are seven points clear at the top having beaten Yeovil yesterday.

Today we're playing Swansea, who are four points off the last play off place.

If the season finished today:

Scunthorpe - champions
City - automatic promotion

First round of the playoffs:

Blackpool v Forest
Yeovil v Oldham

(Winners to meet in the final at The New Wembley, which is now finished and open for business.)

The only games that matter today: City v Swansea and Millwall v Nottingham Forest.

Best case scenario: City win and Forest lose. Instant seven point gap with four games left.

Worst case scenario: City lose and Forest win. One point gap with four games left.

According to William Hill, City are favourites to win, but it's far less clear in SE London. The draw (12/5) looks good value, but I'm almost tempted to bet on Forest at 13/10.

There are 45 minutes to go before kick off and I am really nervous.

There'll be a big update, probably either on Sunday or Monday...

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